Most Impacted Sector
Current macro transmission path
Energy
No Active Event
Energy is taking the clearest macro signal from the current regime.
Auto-refresh on5:04:57 AM
Macro Bias Monitor
WEAKENING / HOLD
Token-efficient Fed regime monitor built around stored state, not full recomputation.
Fed Bias
Central-bank policy stance from policy-sensitive signals.
NEUTRAL
Growth is mixed enough to keep the Fed in a neutral wait-and-see stance.
Policy HoldLead Growth +0.33Confidence 100%
Macro Read
Broader regime across growth, inflation, labor, financial conditions, and risk appetite.
Weakening / Risk On
External Energy Shock, Growth, and Inflation are shaping the broader macro tone right now. Together they keep the broader regime risk on.
External Energy Shock +0.50Growth +0.33Inflation +0.21
Top 5 Economic Indicators
Latest high-priority releases with change versus prior print (green = easing pressure, red = rising pressure).
Core PCEReleased 2026-03-01 | Prior 3% | Delta +0.2 pp | Change vs prior +6.71% | Source fred
3.2%
CPIReleased 2026-04-01 | Prior 3.32% | Delta +0.63 pp | Change vs prior +18.88% | Source fred
3.95%
Core CPIReleased 2026-04-01 | Prior 2.67% | Delta +0.32 pp | Change vs prior +11.80% | Source fred
2.99%
Unemployment RateReleased 2026-04-01 | Prior 4.3% | Delta +0 pp | Change vs prior +0.00% | Source fred
4.3%
NFP Monthly ChangeReleased 2026-04-01 | Prior 185,000 jobs | Delta -70,000 | Change vs prior -37.84% | Source fred
115,000
EconomyWeakening
Rate BiasHold
Confidence100%
EventNo Active Event
Event Status
Live event overlay on top of the macro baseline
No Active Event
No active override
No active event cluster is overriding the baseline macro read right now.
Pressure Map
Live factor pressure across the active macro packages
External Energy ShockModerate signal support
+0.50
GrowthModerate signal support
+0.33
InflationWatch support
+0.21
Recession RiskWatch drag
-0.09
LaborWatch drag
-0.07
Financial ConditionsWatch drag
-0.03
System Status
Operational pipeline health, beacon state, and recent execution details.
Pipeline Status
Latest checkpoints, schedule windows, and pipeline source mode.
Latest state2026-05-18T09:00:48.315949+00:00
Latest weekly report2026-05-18T09:00:48.315949+00:00
Latest daily scan2026-05-19T23:00:15.877368+00:00
Last run statussucceeded
Next daily scanMay 20, 7:00 p.m.
Next weekly readyMay 25, 6:00 a.m.
Daily source modepending
Confidence coverage24/24 indicators
Schedule timezone: America/Toronto
System Beacon
Stable
No stale or incomplete states are active.
No active watch reasons.
Recent Runs
daily_news_scan
succeeded at 2026-05-19T23:00:00+00:00
daily_news_scan
succeeded at 2026-05-18T23:00:00+00:00
monday_analysis
succeeded at 2026-05-18T09:00:00+00:00
daily_news_scan
succeeded at 2026-05-17T23:00:00+00:00
Operator Actions
API actions available:
`POST /api/admin/override-bias`
`POST /api/admin/dismiss-event`
`POST /api/admin/seed-demo`
`POST /api/admin/test-alert`